Tesla Lease Incentives to Expect Before 2025

Q4 2024 will bring the year's best Tesla lease deals as the company pushes to hit annual delivery targets. Here's what to expect based on historical patterns and current inventory levels.

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Predicted 2024 Year-End Incentives

Confirmed

$7,500 Federal EV Credit

Applied as capitalized cost reduction on all leases. May change in 2025 based on battery sourcing rules.

Likely

Free Supercharging Miles

Historical precedent suggests 5,000-10,000 free miles for Q4 deliveries. Last year: 6 months unlimited Supercharging.

Possible

Loyalty Discounts

$1,000-$2,500 for current Tesla owners who lease another vehicle. Currently offered in select regions.

Wildcard

FSD Trial Inclusion

May include 3-12 month FSD trials to clear inventory before hardware upgrades in 2025.

Quarter-by-Quarter Deal Calendar

Q3 (July-Sept)

  • Summer sales events
  • Demo vehicle discounts
  • Local dealer incentives

Q4 (Oct-Dec)

  • Year-end clearance
  • Free Supercharging
  • Possible $0 down deals

Q1 2025 (Jan-Mar)

  • New model updates
  • Lower incentives
  • Credit requirement hikes

Q2 2025 (Apr-Jun)

  • Tax season promotions
  • Lease loyalty bonuses
  • Inventory balancing

3 Strategies to Maximize Savings

  1. Wait for December 15-31: 73% of Tesla's biggest discounts occur in the last 2 weeks of Q4.
  2. Target discontinued models: Current-gen Model 3 may see steep discounts when "Highland" refresh arrives.
  3. Check inventory daily: Tesla updates deals at 9am PST when new inventory arrives.

📅 Pro Tip: The 10/10 Rule

The best lease deals typically appear when:

This indicates overstock Tesla needs to move quickly.

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